瑞银:内地电讯商增值税调高 料中国移动(00941)、中国电信(00728)及中国联通(00762)盈利受9%、18%及逾18%影响
智通财经网·2026-02-03 03:49

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the recent VAT adjustment announced by China's three major telecom operators will have a significant negative impact on their profitability, as the affected services account for 45% to 60% of their projected service revenue for 2025 [1] Group 1: VAT Adjustment Impact - The VAT rate for mobile data, SMS/MMS, and internet broadband services will increase from 6% to 9% starting January 1 of this year [1] - The adjustment is expected to reduce service revenue for telecom operators by approximately 1.5% to 2% [1] Group 2: Profitability Forecast - Assuming a corporate income tax rate of 25% and not considering other costs or tax deductions, the net profit impact for the three major telecom operators by 2025 is estimated to be around 9% for China Mobile, 17.9% for China Telecom, and 18.2% for China Unicom [1] Group 3: Strategic Response - The three major telecom operators plan to enhance operational efficiency, focus on high-quality development, and accelerate transformation into emerging fields such as artificial intelligence and cloud services to mitigate the impact of the tax rate increase [1]