Ahead of ConocoPhillips (COP) Q4 Earnings: Get Ready With Wall Street Estimates for Key Metrics

Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that ConocoPhillips (COP) will report quarterly earnings of $1.08 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 45.5% and revenues of $14.05 billion, down 4.7% from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised downward by 12.1%, indicating a reassessment by analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, with empirical studies showing a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Revenues- Sales and other operating revenues' to be $13.66 billion, a decrease of 4.1% year-over-year [5]. - 'Revenues- Equity in earnings of affiliates' is projected at $260.35 million, down 40.8% from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Revenues- Other Income' is expected to be $112.33 million, reflecting a 17% increase from the previous year [6]. - 'Sales and Other Operating Revenue- Alaska' is estimated at $1.34 billion, down 17.5% year-over-year [6]. - 'Sales and Other Operating Revenue- Europe, Middle East and North Africa' is projected at $1.43 billion, a decrease of 15.9% from the prior year [7]. - 'Sales and Other Operating Revenue- Lower 48' is expected to reach $9.35 billion, indicating a decline of 2.4% year-over-year [7]. Production Estimates - Total production per day is estimated at 2,330.30 thousand barrels of oil equivalent, up from 2,183.00 thousand barrels of oil equivalent in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Natural gas liquids produced per day - Total company' is projected at 416.02 thousand barrels of oil, compared to 362.00 thousand barrels in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Crude oil produced per day - Total company' is expected to be 1,123.64 thousand barrels, an increase from 1,070.00 thousand barrels reported in the same quarter last year [10]. Price Estimates - The consensus estimate for 'Average Sales Price - Crude oil - Total company per bbl' is $60.26, down from $71.04 in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Average Sales Price - Natural gas - Total company' is forecasted to be $4.34, compared to $5.12 in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - ConocoPhillips shares have increased by 2.6% over the past month, compared to a 1.8% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [11]. - With a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), COP is expected to underperform the overall market in the near future [11].