【环时深度】超越亲疏：全球博弈中的美欧关系

Group 1: Core Views - The relationship between the US and Europe is increasingly characterized by hostility, necessitating greater independence for Europe [1] - The historical context of the US-Europe relationship has been shaped by military, economic, and technological power dynamics, as well as changes in the international geopolitical landscape [1][4] - External variables such as immigration issues and the rise of far-right forces are impacting the traditional alliance between the US and Europe [1][9] Group 2: Historical Context - NATO was established not only to counter the Soviet threat but also to promote European political integration and prevent the resurgence of nationalism and militarism [2] - Post-World War II, the US held a dominant position with a GDP share of over 30% globally, while European powers were significantly weakened [3] - The economic recovery and integration of Europe from the 1950s to the 1970s reduced the economic gap with the US, but military dependence on NATO persisted [3][4] Group 3: Post-Cold War Dynamics - The establishment of the European Single Market and the Euro in the 1990s enhanced Europe's economic integration and influence in international trade [4] - The end of the Cold War saw a temporary alignment of interests between the US and Europe, but strategic disagreements emerged, notably during the Iraq War [4][5] - The financial crises in the late 2000s shifted focus to internal issues for both the US and Europe, reducing cooperation [6] Group 4: Recent Developments - The year 2016 marked a significant turning point in US-Europe relations, influenced by Brexit and the election of Donald Trump, which exposed underlying structural tensions [6][7] - The technological gap has widened, with the US leading in digital economy and high-tech sectors, while Europe focuses on regulatory frameworks [6][8] - The rise of far-right parties in Europe is reshaping domestic politics and could impact the EU's relationship with the US, particularly regarding military commitments and foreign policy [10][11] Group 5: External Challenges - Immigration and refugee issues are creating political instability in Europe, complicating the EU's ability to coordinate with the US on foreign policy [9][11] - The competition between major powers, particularly regarding China and Russia, is leading to divergent strategies and priorities between the US and Europe [11][12]