债市早报：资金面整体平稳；债市以震荡为主

Group 1: Domestic News - The 2026 Central Document was released, focusing on agricultural modernization and rural revitalization, emphasizing the need for reforms in rural collective property rights and controlling new village-level debts [2] - The document encourages the use of special bonds and long-term treasury bonds to support major projects in agriculture and rural areas, enhancing the effectiveness of financial support for agriculture [2] Group 2: Monetary Policy - The central bank announced an increase in the amount of 3-month reverse repos, conducting an operation of 800 billion yuan, resulting in a net injection of 100 billion yuan after accounting for maturing repos [3] - The central bank's Shanghai headquarters is actively promoting financial reforms in the free trade zone, aiming to enhance cross-border financial services and the convenience of cross-border RMB business [3] Group 3: International News - The U.S. House of Representatives approved a funding bill to end a partial government shutdown, with a vote of 217 to 214, sending the bill to the President for signature [4] - Despite the approval, a funding shortfall risk remains, particularly for the Department of Homeland Security, which has funding only until February 13 [4] Group 4: Commodity Market - International crude oil prices rose, with WTI crude up 1.72% to $63.21 per barrel and Brent crude up 1.56% to $67.33 per barrel [5] - Gold futures increased by 6.94% to $4975.30 per ounce, while natural gas prices rose by 3.49% to $3.377 per million British thermal units [5] Group 5: Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market showed mixed performance, with short-term bonds weaker and medium to long-term bonds slightly stronger; the yield on the 10-year government bond fell by 0.40 basis points to 1.8110% [9] - The central bank conducted a 7-day reverse repo operation with a total of 1055 billion yuan at a rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 2965 billion yuan due to maturing repos [6][7] Group 6: Credit Bonds - No credit bonds showed price deviations exceeding 10% on February 3, indicating stable trading conditions in the secondary market [11] - Companies like Zhongjun Group and Yida China are facing financial difficulties, with Zhongjun unable to repay a bond and Yida receiving a lawsuit for debt recovery [11][12] Group 7: Convertible Bonds - The convertible bond market saw a collective rebound, with major indices rising between 2.51% and 2.79%, and trading volume increasing significantly [13] - Notable individual bonds like Baichuan Convertible Bond surged over 17%, while some bonds experienced declines, such as Huazheng Convertible Bond, which fell over 4% [14] Group 8: Overseas Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields showed mixed movements, with the 10-year yield down 1 basis point to 4.28%, while the 2-year yield remained unchanged at 3.57% [16] - European government bond yields generally increased, with Germany's 10-year yield rising by 2 basis points to 2.89% [18]