国泰海通:计算机年报业绩增长与下滑两极分化 行业呈现“两头大、中间小”特征
智通财经网·2026-02-04 06:17

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the median data shows that the profit performance of computer companies in 2025 is expected to outperform revenue [1] - Among the 238 companies that released performance forecasts, only 70 provided revenue data, with a median revenue growth rate of 0.97%. In contrast, the median growth rate for net profit attributable to shareholders is 17.83%, and for non-recurring net profit, it is 28.68% [1] - Large-cap companies tend to lean towards the growth side in performance statistics, with stronger certainty in fourth-quarter performance [1] Group 2 - In 2025, over half of the computer industry performance forecasts are positive, indicating a polarization between growth and decline [2] - Among the 358 computer companies, 238 released performance forecasts, representing 66.5%. The distribution of expected net profit growth rates shows that 42.9% (103 companies) expect growth of over 30%, while 36.3% (87 companies) anticipate a decline of over 30% [2] - The high-growth and significant decline segments combined account for 79.2% of the companies, with 60% (142 companies) expecting growth and 40% (96 companies) expecting decline [2] Group 3 - Among companies with a net profit of approximately 100 million and above, significant performance differentiation is observed [3] - Companies with clear improvements in performance and expected year-on-year growth of over 30% include Tonghuashun, Daotong Technology, and iFLYTEK, among others [3] - Conversely, companies facing profit pressure with year-on-year declines include Bosi Software and Keyuan Wisdom, with the latter showing nearly 40% growth when excluding impairment losses [3]

Guotai Haitong Securities-国泰海通:计算机年报业绩增长与下滑两极分化 行业呈现“两头大、中间小”特征 - Reportify