嘀嗒出行发布2026春运顺风车出行预测：春节顺风车返乡下单高峰将从2月8日开始 2月12日出发人数将最多

Core Insights - The 2026 Spring Festival travel season is expected to see significant trends in ride-sharing, particularly for cross-city trips during the holiday period [2][4][5] Group 1: Travel Trends - Peak days for ride-sharing bookings and departures for outbound trips are projected to be February 11 and 12, while return trip peaks are expected on February 22 and 23 [2][5] - The volume of ride-sharing bookings for outbound and return trips will remain high in the days surrounding these peak dates [2][5] - The ratio of ride-sharing bookings for hotel and tourism destinations compared to residential destinations is estimated to be approximately 1:2, indicating a growing trend in holiday travel [4][10][14] Group 2: User Behavior - Over 15% of cross-city ride-sharing bookings for residential destinations are expected to originate directly from workplaces, allowing for more efficient travel for those still working [10][19] - A significant portion of users (about 67.6%) are expected to book rides more than one hour in advance, with over 40.5% booking more than 12 hours ahead [7][10] - The majority of ride-sharing users tend to book their trips within two days of travel, reflecting the flexibility of ride-sharing as a transportation option during the Spring Festival [7][10] Group 3: Popular Routes and Cities - The top five popular routes for return trips are expected to be Shenzhen to Dongguan, Shenzhen to Guangzhou, Shenzhen to Huizhou, Beijing to Langfang, and Shanghai to Suzhou [25][28] - Cities predicted to experience the fastest growth in ride-sharing popularity during the Spring Festival include Chengmai, Wuzhishan, Zhuzhou, Qujing, and Yuxi [4][14][17] - Following the recent opening of Hainan, cities like Danzhou have seen a significant increase in ride-sharing bookings, with some cities reporting over a 145% increase since December 18, 2025 [17][19] Group 4: Changing Travel Patterns - There is a noticeable trend of increased ride-sharing bookings from lower-tier cities to new first-tier cities, with the proportion rising from 7.72% in 2022 to 9.07% in 2025 [20][24] - Conversely, the proportion of bookings from first-tier cities to lower-tier cities has decreased by over 3 percentage points during the same period [20][24]