ZHONGJI INNOLIGHT(SZ:300308) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-04 10:35Core Viewpoint - The company expects significant growth in net profit for the year 2025, driven by increased demand for high-speed optical modules due to the rising need for computing power [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders to be between 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 89.5% to 128.17% [1] - Despite facing a reduction in net profit of approximately 606 million due to share-based payment expenses, inventory and receivables impairment losses, and exchange rate losses, investment income and fair value changes contributed an increase of about 296 million [1] Group 2: Market Demand and Growth Drivers - The global AI computing infrastructure is driving a rapid increase in demand for high-end optical modules, with current demand exceeding supply by more than two times [2] - The core growth drivers include strong demand for high-speed optical modules and switches, as well as the promotion of optical interconnect technology in AI scale-up networks [2] - The global Ethernet optical module market is projected to grow by 35% to reach 18.9 billion by 2026, with 1.6T optical modules and silicon photonics technology being key growth engines [2] Group 3: Competitive Position and Technology Leadership - The company has maintained its position as the global market leader in optical modules for four consecutive years, benefiting from strong R&D capabilities, large-scale manufacturing, and efficient delivery systems [3] - The company has established deep strategic partnerships with leading cloud providers, allowing it to align closely with customer needs and maintain strategic initiative amid technological changes [3] Group 4: Product Development and Innovation - Demand for 800G products is consistently increasing, with quarterly growth in shipment volumes, while key customers have begun large-scale deployment of 1.6T products [4] - The silicon photonics technology has successfully passed customer validation, with continuous improvement in product yield and proportion [4] - The company plans to showcase next-generation products at the OFC2025 exhibition and is actively advancing the development of Scale-up optical interconnect architecture, with potential deployment by 2027 [4] Group 5: Investment Outlook - The company holds a dominant position in the optical communication transceiver market with significant technological advantages, presenting clear growth opportunities and valuation enhancement potential [5] - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are estimated at 38.948 billion, 84.476 billion, and 120.4 billion, with net profits of 11.341 billion, 25.280 billion, and 35.022 billion respectively, leading to a target price of 735.6 yuan based on a 33x PE for 2026 [5]