黄力晨:逢低买盘与避险买盘 支撑黄金价格上涨

Core Viewpoint - The recent geopolitical tensions, including the delay in Russia-Ukraine talks and the risk of a U.S. government shutdown, have heightened market risk aversion, leading to a rebound in gold prices. The technical indicators suggest a correction demand for gold after a significant drop, with support levels identified at $4850 and $4800, and resistance levels at $5000 and $5050 [1][4]. Group 1 - Gold prices have rebounded significantly, recovering nearly half of the previous decline due to expectations of Federal Reserve easing, geopolitical risks, and central bank gold purchases [2][5]. - The market's risk aversion has been fueled by renewed geopolitical tensions, including the potential escalation of the U.S.-Iran situation and the delay in Russia-Ukraine negotiations [2][5]. - Technical analysis indicates that gold has found support at the $5000 level, which aligns with the upper Bollinger Band and the 4-hour MA5 moving average [2][5]. Group 2 - The short-term outlook for gold remains bullish, with expectations for continued upward movement supported by both dip buying and safe-haven buying [3][6]. - Key support levels for gold are identified at $5000 and $4950, while resistance levels are noted at $5100 and $5200 [3][6].