游戏巨头崩了，跳空大跌11%，一天蒸发约640亿元

Core Viewpoint - Nintendo's stock price experienced a significant drop, with a decline of nearly 11% on February 4, marking the largest single-day drop in 18 months, resulting in a market value loss of approximately 1.44 trillion yen (around 64 billion RMB) [1][3]. Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, Nintendo reported revenues of 806.3 billion yen, an 86% year-on-year increase, but below market expectations of 847.7 billion yen [3]. - Operating profit was 155.2 billion yen, a 23.1% increase year-on-year, also falling short of the anticipated 180.7 billion yen [3]. - Net profit reached 159.9 billion yen, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.43% [3]. - The sales forecast for the Switch 2 is set at 19 million units by March 2026, with nearly 17.4 million units sold by the end of December 2025 [3]. Pricing and Cost Challenges - The retail price of the Switch 2 in the U.S. is $449.99, significantly higher than the Japanese price of 49,980 yen (approximately $320), attributed to the current inflation environment [3]. - Nintendo indicated that while price increases currently have a minimal impact on this fiscal year's earnings, sustained high prices could pressure profit margins [4]. - The company has raised the retail price of the Switch 2 by 15% to offset rising memory costs, which have surged due to supply chain disruptions and increased demand from the AI sector [4][5]. Memory Market Dynamics - The memory market is currently in a "super bull market," with prices for DRAM and NAND flash increasing by 386% and 207% respectively in 2025 [5]. - Major memory manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix reported record profits, with combined operating profits nearing 40 trillion won (approximately $27.8 billion) in Q4 2025 [5]. - The demand for memory products is expected to remain strong, driven by AI and data center needs, with price increases anticipated in the first quarter of 2026 [6].