Plains All American to Post Q4 Earnings: What's Next for the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) is anticipated to report a decline in both earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025, with earnings estimated at 42 cents per unit and revenues at $11.55 billion, reflecting a year-over-year revenue decline of 6.85% [1][2][6]. Earnings Estimates - Fourth-quarter earnings estimates have decreased by 17.65% over the past 60 days, with the bottom-line projection aligning with the previous year's quarter [2]. - The average earnings surprise for PAA over the last four quarters is 4.21%, with two earnings beats and two misses [3][4]. Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model does not predict an earnings beat for PAA this quarter, as the Earnings ESP is -6.11% and the Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold) [5][7]. Revenue and Cash Flow - PAA's expected Q4 revenues of $11.55 billion represent a 6.85% decline year-over-year, with the company relying heavily on fee-based, long-term contracts that provide stable cash flow [6][10]. - The acquisition of EPIC Crude Holdings is expected to positively impact fourth-quarter earnings due to long-term volume commitments from customers [11]. Financial Performance Metrics - PAA's trailing 12-month return on equity is 11.04%, which is below the industry average of 13.28%, indicating less effective utilization of shareholders' funds [12]. - PAA's current trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA is 10.78X, slightly undervalued compared to the industry average of 10.88X [14][15].