Bitcoin bulls, forget the official stats, U.S. inflation is crashing in real time

Core Insights - The Truflation index, a real-time blockchain-based tracker, has dropped below 1% for the first time since early 2021, indicating significant disinflation [1][2] - The current Truflation reading shows consumer price inflation at 0.86% year-over-year, well below the Federal Reserve's 2% target [3] - Predictions suggest potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could positively impact liquidity-sensitive assets like Bitcoin [2][4] Group 1: Inflation Trends - The Truflation index has decreased from 2.67% since mid-December, contrasting with the official government reading that remains 700 basis points above the Fed's target [1][2] - Analysts, including Cathie Wood from Ark Invest, suggest that inflation could turn negative, opposing forecasts from firms like BlackRock and PIMCO [3] Group 2: Cryptocurrency Market Response - Bitcoin is currently trading around $78,000, approximately 38% below its record price of $126,000 from early October, with some smaller tokens showing recovery [2][5] - The CoinDesk 80 Index has gained 2% over 24 hours, indicating a slight recovery in the crypto market [5] Group 3: Future Outlook - Institutional adoption and the use of stablecoins for cross-border settlements are expected to enhance the depth and interoperability of the crypto market [6] - Over time, these developments may reinforce Bitcoin's characteristics as a hedge against debasement, even if the market has not fully priced this narrative yet [7]