Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles indicates that the US dollar index is maintaining a strong position due to cautious pricing of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, with the index rebounding from a low of 95.36 to over 220 points, reaching a high of 97.605 before entering a consolidation phase [1] - The resilience of the US labor market and the slow pace of inflation decline have not yet reached the threshold for the Federal Reserve to consider easing, leading to a significant correction in previous rapid rate cut expectations [1] - The divergence in monetary policies among major global economies, such as the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan, has contributed to the relative strength of the US dollar, highlighting its safe-haven attributes and yield advantages [1] Group 2 - From a technical perspective, the dollar index has established a critical support level at 97.00, which is reinforced by short-term moving averages and previous trading volume, indicating a significant bullish defense [2] - The short-term trading range is identified between 96.84 and 98.66, with the Bollinger Bands indicating a phase of consolidation, suggesting that a strong signal is needed to break the current pattern [2] - Key variables to monitor include upcoming US CPI and non-farm payroll data, which could solidify the high-rate maintenance logic, and the Federal Reserve's policy statements, which will influence market sentiment and the dollar index's trajectory [2]
美元指数高位整固 美联储利率预期成行情核心
Jin Tou Wang·2026-02-05 02:31