碳酸锂期货多合约触及跌停 创1月6日以来新低

Core Viewpoint - Lithium carbonate futures experienced a significant decline, with the main contract dropping 10.40% to 133,200.0 yuan/ton, marking a new low since January 6 [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of February 5, lithium carbonate futures hit a new low, with multiple contracts reaching the limit down [1] - The volatility in the lithium carbonate futures market is at a historical high, with limited further upward movement expected [1] Group 2: Export Data - Chile's customs data indicates that lithium carbonate exports to China reached 16,950 tons in January 2026, a month-on-month increase of 44.81% [1] - Notably, lithium sulfate exports to China surged to 27,834 tons, reflecting a staggering month-on-month increase of 475.32% [1] Group 3: Industry Demand - The China Passenger Car Association reported that the estimated wholesale of new energy vehicles in January 2026 reached 900,000 units, representing a year-on-year growth of 1% [1] - The reduction in purchase tax incentives has led to early consumption pull-forward effects, yet the industry still achieved positive growth at the beginning of the year [1] Group 4: Strategic Recommendations - The company suggests focusing on volatility selling strategies as a potential opportunity in the current market [1] - From a medium to long-term perspective, the demand growth logic in the three downstream application areas—energy storage, new energy passenger vehicles, and commercial vehicles—remains fundamentally unchanged, supporting the long-term value of lithium carbonate [1] - The company recommends seizing market pullback opportunities and adopting a buy-on-dips strategy [1]