Contrarian Take: Palantir Has a Much Bigger Problem Than Nvidia

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies is experiencing significant revenue growth, but faces challenges in international expansion and staffing, which may hinder its long-term prospects compared to competitors like Nvidia [1][6][12]. Financial Performance - Palantir's revenue increased by 70% year over year to $1.4 billion, with U.S. commercial revenue rising 137% to $507 million [1]. - Palantir's expenses grew by 34% year over year in Q4, partly due to elite technical hiring [10]. Market Position and Challenges - Both Palantir and Nvidia struggle to meet demand, but Palantir's international commercial revenue only grew by 8% year over year, indicating a hesitance in adoption outside the U.S. [4][6]. - Palantir's CEO noted a significant capacity restraint due to a lack of skilled staff to implement and support its technology [6]. Competitive Landscape - Nvidia is addressing its supply challenges by increasing inventory and supply commitments, while Palantir is limited in its ability to rapidly scale due to staffing issues [8][9]. - Nvidia's projected sequential revenue growth is 14%, compared to Palantir's 9%, indicating Nvidia's faster growth trajectory [12]. Valuation Comparison - Nvidia's shares trade at less than 25 times forward earnings, while Palantir's forward earnings multiple is nearly 164, suggesting Nvidia has a more attractive valuation [13].