Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC (PSNY): A Bull Case Theory

Core Thesis - Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC is viewed positively despite market pessimism, with a significant disconnect between its fundamentals and market perception in the electric vehicle (EV) sector [2][3] Company Overview - Polestar specializes in the research, development, marketing, commercialization, and sale of battery electric vehicles and related technology solutions [2] - The company has delivered over 44,000 vehicles in the first nine months of 2025, generating over $2.17 billion in revenue [2] Financial Position - As of Q3 2025, Polestar had approximately $995 million in cash, with quarterly cash burn rates between $250 million and $300 million, providing operational runway into mid-to-late 2026 [4] - The current market valuation does not reflect the company's revenue base, treating it as if operations are at risk of cessation [4] Strategic Support - Polestar's operations are backed by Geely Holding, which has shown commitment through a $200 million capital injection in June 2025, indicating the brand's strategic importance within the group [3] - The potential for a take-private transaction is considered realistic, allowing Geely to streamline operations away from public scrutiny [3] Market Challenges - The company faces challenges including cash burn, tariff pressures, and compliance issues, which contribute to market pessimism [3][5] - Efforts are underway to mitigate risks associated with U.S. and EU tariffs due to China-based manufacturing, although margin relief will take time [5]