盘前涨超11%！蔚来，或首次盈利

Core Viewpoint - NIO Inc. is expected to achieve its first quarterly profit in Q4 2025, leading to a significant increase in its stock price by over 11% in pre-market trading [2][3]. Group 1: Financial Projections - NIO anticipates an adjusted operating profit (non-GAAP) of approximately 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan for Q4 2025 [4]. - According to GAAP, the expected operating profit is projected to be between 200 million to 700 million yuan [5]. - The company has previously indicated a delivery guidance of 120,000 to 125,000 vehicles for Q4 2025, with actual deliveries nearing the upper limit of this guidance [8]. Group 2: Delivery and Growth - NIO's delivery volume for Q4 2025 is projected to reach 124,800 vehicles, representing a year-on-year growth of 71.7%, with December 2025 deliveries hitting a record high of 48,100 vehicles, up 54.6% year-on-year [7]. - The company has been implementing cost-cutting and efficiency measures, which are beginning to show positive results [8]. Group 3: Industry Context - Other leading new energy vehicle manufacturers, such as Li Auto and Leap Motor, have already achieved quarterly profitability, while NIO and XPeng Motors are also targeting profitability in Q4 2025 [9]. - The industry is moving towards a collective profitability phase, with XPeng Motors indicating a 99.999% probability of achieving profitability in the same quarter [9]. - Continuous profitability is highlighted as a critical challenge for the industry moving forward, as evidenced by Leap Motor's fluctuating profit status [10][11].