2025年我国服务进出口总额同比增长7.4%

Core Insights - In 2025, China's service trade is projected to grow steadily, with total service trade imports and exports reaching 80,823.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.4% [1] - The export of services is expected to reach 36,267.9 billion yuan, growing by 14.2%, while imports will be 44,555.1 billion yuan, increasing by 2.5% [1] - The service trade deficit is anticipated to narrow to 8,287.2 billion yuan, a reduction of 3,439.5 billion yuan from the previous year [1] Service Trade Breakdown - Knowledge-intensive service trade is expected to maintain growth, with imports and exports totaling 30,879.5 billion yuan, a growth of 6.6% [1] - Specific segments such as other business services and telecommunications, computer, and information services are projected to grow by 5.5% and 10.4%, respectively [1] - Knowledge-intensive service exports are forecasted to reach 18,321.2 billion yuan, increasing by 10.5%, while imports will be 12,558.3 billion yuan, growing by 1.3% [1] - The surplus in knowledge-intensive services is expected to expand to 5,762.9 billion yuan, an increase of 1,581.7 billion yuan from the previous year [1] Travel Services - Travel services are projected to experience rapid growth, with imports and exports reaching 22,067 billion yuan, a growth of 7.6% [1] - Travel service exports are expected to surge by 49.5%, while imports will grow by 1.4% [1] - The growth in travel services is attributed to effective policy measures and sustained market demand, including visa facilitation policies that lower entry barriers for international tourists [2][4] Future Outlook - The 2026 National Service Consumption and Service Trade Work Conference emphasizes high-level openness and the dual drive of "policy + activities" to foster new growth points in service consumption and support service exports [3] - The expectation is that the share of knowledge-intensive service trade will further increase, acting as a stabilizer against global economic fluctuations [3] - The cultivation of new growth points in service consumption is anticipated to shift China's service trade from passive participation in international division of labor to actively exporting Chinese standards and cultural brands [3]