Cummins(US:CMI) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-05 20:36Core Viewpoint - Cummins (CMI) faces challenges in the highway market, leading to a significant stock drop of 12.6% despite mixed fourth-quarter earnings results [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported a 1.1% year-over-year revenue increase to $8.54 billion in Q4, ending a four-quarter decline [2][6]. - Earnings per share exceeded expectations, and the company restored its full-year guidance, projecting a revenue growth of 3%-8% for fiscal year 2026, aligning with market expectations [2][6]. - The growth was primarily driven by strong global power generation demand, increased pickup truck sales, and improved pricing, which offset weak sales in the North American heavy/medium truck segment [2][6]. Business Segment Performance - Power Systems revenue grew by 11% year-over-year to $1.9 billion, benefiting from increased demand for backup power in data centers and favorable pricing conditions [2][6]. - Distribution revenue increased by 7% year-over-year to $3.3 billion, supported by a favorable power generation business mix and resilient aftermarket activities [3][7]. - Parts sales declined by 7% year-over-year to $2.4 billion, primarily due to the cyclical downturn in the highway transportation industry, although international sales rose by 4% due to increased demand in Europe and China [3][7]. Engine and Zero-Carbon Business - Engine sales decreased by 4% to $2.6 billion, impacted by weak demand in North America, although increased pickup truck sales partially mitigated this decline [4][8]. - The zero-carbon business (Accelera) saw a 31% year-over-year revenue increase to $131 million, but faced a pre-tax loss of $374 million due to project review expenses and weak hydrogen demand [4][8]. Market Outlook - Cummins anticipates continued pressure on North American highway transportation business in the first half of 2026, with potential improvement in the second half, while power generation, industrial, and aftermarket sectors are expected to remain strong [4][9]. - Analysts note that the fourth-quarter results reflect a differentiated market environment, with strong performance in power generation due to robust data center demand, while the highway transportation sector continues to drag down engine and parts segments [9].