Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao·2026-02-06 03:21Core Viewpoint - The enthusiasm for institutional research on listed banks has increased since the beginning of the year, with a focus on credit allocation and interest margin management for 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Institutional Research Activity - As of February 5, 2026, 12 regional banks have received 155 institutional research visits, totaling 327 interactions [1][3]. - Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank has been actively engaging with multiple institutions, receiving five visits in less than a week [2]. - Shanghai Bank has been the most scrutinized, with 75 institutions participating in nine rounds of research since January 12, 2026 [3]. Group 2: Credit Allocation Focus - The "opening red" credit allocation for 2026 is a key focus, with banks reporting a positive start and increased public loan allocations compared to previous years [5]. - Banks like Hangzhou Bank and Zhangjiagang Bank are targeting key industries and projects, including infrastructure and technological upgrades [5][6]. - Analysts expect that new RMB loans in January 2026 will be around 5 trillion yuan, with a growth rate of approximately 6.2% [6]. Group 3: Deposit Structure Adjustments - The net interest margin for banks has been narrowing, with a historical low of 1.42% as of Q3 2025 [7]. - Banks are planning to optimize their liability structures and control deposit costs to stabilize interest margins [7][8]. - Institutions like Zijin Bank and Shanghai Bank are focusing on adjusting deposit sources and terms to manage costs effectively [7][8]. Group 4: Future Outlook on Interest Margins - Shanghai Bank anticipates a continued decline in the Loan Prime Rate (LPR) in 2026, which may lead to a further decrease in interest margins [8]. - Regional banks are expected to maintain stable earnings, although there may be a divergence in performance based on regional economic vitality [8].