Jin Rong Jie·2026-02-06 04:11Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant decline, with the Hang Seng Index dropping 1.13% to 26,580.94 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index down 0.47% to 5,380.72 points, and the National Enterprises Index falling 0.52% to 9,045.82 points, indicating a weak overall performance and noticeable market divergence [1][2]. Sector Performance - Major technology stocks faced substantial pressure, with Alibaba down 2.57%, JD Group down 2.21%, and Tencent Holdings down 0.9%, contributing significantly to the index decline. Analysts attribute this adjustment to intensified market competition and regulatory changes, leading to evident capital outflows [2]. - Gold stocks plummeted due to a sharp drop in gold and silver prices, with companies like Zhaojin Mining and Zijin Mining experiencing declines. The decrease in demand for gold as a safe haven and the rebound of the US dollar index pressured gold prices [3]. - Digital currency and AI application stocks also performed poorly, affected by increased market volatility and regulatory uncertainties. Despite the promising outlook for AI applications, the sector is still in its early development stages, facing challenges in commercialization [4]. Active Sectors - Chinese medicine stocks showed strong performance due to favorable government policies supporting traditional Chinese medicine, with companies like Tongrentang Technology and China Traditional Chinese Medicine seeing significant gains [5]. - The paper industry and new consumption concept stocks were active, benefiting from stable raw material prices and improved supply-demand dynamics, attracting investor interest [6]. Corporate Developments - Meituan announced plans to acquire all shares of fresh food e-commerce platform Dingdong Maicai for $717 million, aiming to expand its presence in the fresh food sector and enhance market share [7]. - NIO projected its first quarterly profit, estimating adjusted operating profits between 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan for Q4 2025, a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year, driven by increased sales and cost-cutting measures [8][9]. - Several companies reported positive earnings forecasts, including Tongda Group, which expects a profit of 115 to 125 million HKD for the fiscal year 2025, and Caike New Energy, which anticipates a revenue of 507 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases [10][11]. Institutional Insights - Analysts from Hang Seng Qianhai suggest that while short-term volatility and liquidity shocks may persist, the market's valuation attractiveness is gradually becoming evident, with potential for upward movement in the medium term [12]. - Guosen Securities remains optimistic about the Hong Kong market's future, despite potential risks from rising oil prices and long-term bond yields, emphasizing the resilience of corporate earnings [13]. - Guoyuan International highlights the potential for short-term fluctuations but maintains a positive long-term outlook for the Hong Kong market, citing strong capital resilience [14].