白银LOF连收5个跌停！基金公司紧急回应

Core Viewpoint - The recent extreme decline in the Guotou Ruijin Silver LOF fund is attributed to a significant drop in its net value, leading to a liquidity crisis and investor dissatisfaction due to delayed communication from the fund management [3][4][6]. Group 1: Fund Performance and Valuation - On February 6, the Guotou Ruijin Silver LOF opened at 3.099 yuan, marking its fifth consecutive trading day of hitting the limit down [1]. - As of February 5, the fund's net value was reported at 2.4073 yuan, with a market trading price premium of 28.73%, indicating that the premium bubble has not fully dissipated [1][2]. - The fund experienced a drastic net value drop of 31.5% on February 2, from 3.2838 yuan on January 30 to 2.2494 yuan, surpassing the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's 10% daily limit down [3]. Group 2: Investor Response and Management Actions - In response to the market uproar and investor demands, the fund management established a working group to address the valuation adjustment issues and facilitate investor claims through various legal channels [4]. - The fund management's late announcement regarding the valuation adjustment on February 2 has led to significant investor dissatisfaction and raised questions about the transparency of the fund's operations [3][4]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Risks - The Guotou Ruijin Silver LOF is the only public fund primarily investing in silver futures, making it susceptible to premium risks due to its scarcity [6]. - The fund has issued 25 premium risk alerts and multiple trading suspension notices since 2026, indicating ongoing concerns about speculative trading [6]. - The liquidity crisis was exacerbated by the fund's long-term premium, which was driven by trading restrictions on silver futures and the T+2 redemption lag, leading to a failure of normal arbitrage mechanisms [6][7]. Group 4: Regulatory and Market Implications - The incident serves as a warning regarding the high risks associated with premium investments, particularly when the premium exceeds 30%, as historical data shows a sharp increase in the probability of drawdowns [7]. - The complexity of valuing cross-border pricing products like silver is highlighted, as fluctuations in international prices can lead to significant discrepancies in domestic valuations [7]. - There is a call for regulatory improvements to establish clearer guidelines for cross-border fund valuations and to create mechanisms linking premium rates with trading suspensions to protect investors [8].