Group 1 - The Bank of Thailand is expected to maintain interest rates in the upcoming monetary policy meeting to assess the impact of the elections on the economy and markets, with consumer price index declining for 10 consecutive months, creating room for potential rate cuts later in the year [1] - Morgan Stanley has raised Indonesia's GDP growth forecast for 2026 from 4.9% to 5.2% following better-than-expected Q4 2025 GDP, but warns that growth momentum may slow due to fiscal contraction and the end of automotive incentives [1] - The Indian central bank's monetary easing cycle may have ended, with a low likelihood of resuming rate cuts in the short term, as economic growth is stabilizing and inflation expectations have been raised [3] Group 2 - Kenanga economists suggest that the Malaysian ringgit is likely to depreciate due to strong domestic economic data and a supportive dollar, with the Federal Reserve expected to delay rate cuts until June [2] - Moody's potential downgrade of Indonesia's credit outlook to negative signals rising policy uncertainty, which could lead to increased scrutiny of the government's credibility and policy choices over the next 12 to 18 months [2] - The European Central Bank's President Lagarde has ruled out the possibility of rate cuts due to a stronger euro, providing support for the euro as the ECB maintains interest rates unchanged [3]
每日机构分析:2月6日
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2026-02-06 17:07