Magnolia Beats Q4 Earnings & Revenue Estimates on Strong Production

Core Insights - Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) reported a fourth-quarter 2025 net profit of 37 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 36 cents, although it decreased from 49 cents in the same quarter last year [1] - The company's total revenues were $318 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $312 million, but down 2.7% from $327 million in the previous year due to lower oil and natural gas liquids revenues [2] Revenue Breakdown - Revenues from oil amounted to $215.6 million, a 12.5% decrease from $246.5 million in the year-ago quarter, but slightly above the consensus estimate of $215 million [3] - Natural gas revenues increased significantly to $52.9 million from $28.4 million year-over-year, beating the consensus estimate of $49.6 million [3] - Natural gas liquids revenues were $49.1 million, down from $51.7 million in the previous year, but above the consensus estimate of $47.4 million [3] Cash Flow and Dividends - The company generated $208.4 million in net cash from operating activities and achieved a free cash flow of $74.7 million [4] - Magnolia declared a cash dividend of 16.5 cents per share for Class A Common stock and 15 cents per Class B unit, marking a 10% increase in the quarterly dividend rate, resulting in an annualized dividend of 66 cents per share [4] Share Repurchase and Returns - In the fourth quarter, Magnolia repurchased 2.4 million Class A Common shares for $53.4 million and increased its share repurchase authorization by an additional 10 million shares, totaling 12.9 million shares remaining for repurchase [5] - The company returned 110% of free cash flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks [5] Production and Prices - Average daily total output was 103,799 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d), an 11.5% increase from 93,096 boe/d in the year-ago quarter, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 101,173 boe/d [6] - Oil volumes were 40,730 barrels per day (bpd), up 4.9% from the previous year, surpassing the estimate of 40,262 bpd [6] - Natural gas volumes reached 196,618 thousand cubic feet per day (Mcf/d), a 17.7% increase from the previous year, exceeding the estimate of 192,400 Mcf/d [7] - The average realized crude oil price was $57.54 per barrel, a 16.6% decrease from $69.01 in the year-ago period [7] Price Realizations - The average realized natural gas price was $2.92 per Mcf, significantly up from $1.85 year-over-year, beating the estimate of $2.83 [9] - The average realized natural gas liquids price was $17.63 per barrel, down 17.1% from the previous year, missing the estimate of $18 [9] - The average sales price was $33.26 per boe compared to $38.13 a year ago [9] Financial Position - As of December 31, 2025, Magnolia had cash and cash equivalents of $266.8 million and long-term debt of $393.2 million, resulting in a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 16.8% [10] - The company spent $116.5 million on its capital program in the reported quarter, with operating expenses increasing to $223.5 million from $202.5 million in the previous year [10] Guidance - For Q1 2026, Magnolia expects D&C capital spending to be about $125 million, with total production estimated at roughly 102 Mboe/d [11] - For the full year of 2026, total D&C capital spending is estimated to range between $440 million and $480 million, supporting approximately 5% total production growth [12]