Cummins Q4 Earnings Call Highlights

Core Insights - Cummins reported a full-year revenue of $33.7 billion in 2025, a decrease of 1% from 2024, with EBITDA at $5.4 billion, or 16.0% of sales, down from $6.3 billion, or 18.6% in 2024 [1] - The company highlighted record underlying profitability in 2025, with adjusted EBITDA of $5.8 billion, or 17.4% of sales, despite challenges in North America truck demand [6][4] Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, EBITDA was $1.2 billion, or 13.5% of sales, compared to $1.0 billion, or 12.1% in the same quarter of the previous year [2] - Fourth-quarter revenue reached $8.5 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year, driven by strong global power generation demand and higher pickup-truck engine volumes [3] Segment Performance - Power Systems revenue rose 16% to a record $7.5 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 22.7%, up from 18.4% in 2024 [7] - Distribution revenue increased 9% to a record $12.4 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 14.6%, up from 12.1% in 2024 [7] - Engine revenue declined 7% to $10.9 billion, with an EBITDA margin of 12.7%, down from 14.1% in 2024 [7] - Components revenue fell 10% to $10.1 billion, but EBITDA margin improved to 13.8% from 13.5% [7] Strategic Initiatives - Cummins introduced new engines, including the X10 and B7.2 diesel engines, aimed at North American markets [9] - The company expanded its hybrid and power generation offerings, including a collaboration with Komatsu for hybrid powertrains [10] Outlook for 2026 - Cummins forecasts revenue growth of 3% to 8% for 2026, with an EBITDA margin of 17% to 18% [5] - The company expects a recovery in North America truck demand in the second half of 2026, with projected production of 220,000 to 240,000 heavy-duty trucks [14] - Power Systems is expected to grow 12% to 17% with an EBITDA margin of 23% to 24% [15] Tariff Impact - Tariffs are expected to create a ~50 basis-point headwind to EBITDA margin in 2026, despite mitigation efforts [12] - The company noted uncertainty around Section 232 details and its potential impact on operations [13] Capital Allocation - Capital spending for 2026 is projected to be between $1.35 billion and $1.45 billion, with a long-term goal of returning at least 50% of operating cash flow to shareholders [18]