Strong Palantir (PLTR) Results Fail to Shift RBC’s Bearish Stance

Core Viewpoint - Palantir Technologies Inc. has shown strong financial performance, but RBC Capital maintains a bearish outlook with an Underperform rating and a $50 price target despite the positive results [1][5]. Financial Performance - Palantir reported a significant revenue growth guidance of 61% for 2026, surpassing the consensus estimate of 41% [2]. - The fourth quarter revenue exceeded consensus by 5%, leading to an approximate 8% increase in shares after hours [2]. - Commercial revenue grew by 82% year-over-year, while government revenue increased by 60%, both exceeding market expectations [2]. Margins and Earnings - The adjusted operating margin for the fourth quarter was 57%, above the consensus of 52.3%, and adjusted EPS was $0.25, compared to the consensus of $0.23 [4]. - First-quarter revenue guidance is projected to be between $1,532 million and $1,536 million, indicating a 74% year-over-year increase and exceeding the consensus of approximately $1,326 million [4]. - The adjusted operating margin midpoint for the first quarter is estimated at 72%, significantly higher than the consensus of 48.3% [4]. Future Projections - For 2026, Palantir's revenue guidance is set between $7,182 million and $7,198 million, above the consensus of around $6,295 million [4]. - The US Commercial revenue guidance exceeds $3.14 billion, representing at least 115% year-over-year growth [4]. - Adjusted free cash flow guidance for 2026 is projected to be between $3.925 billion and $4.125 billion, above the consensus of approximately $2.8 billion [4].