这类重要资源保障压力突出，新能源需求支撑产业链景气度回升

Core Viewpoint - The phosphochemical industry is an essential raw material sector in the national economy, with products widely used in agriculture, food, pharmaceuticals, electronics, construction materials, and new energy [1] Group 1: Industry Outlook - By the second half of 2025, the lithium battery industry is expected to show significant recovery, with steady increases in production scheduling and operating rates across the entire industry chain [1] - The strong demand for phosphorus-containing materials is expected to drive consumption of upstream raw materials such as phosphate rock and high-purity phosphoric acid, supporting the recovery of the phosphochemical industry chain [1] Group 2: Resource Constraints - China has limited phosphate rock resources and strong environmental constraints, leading to a continuous tightening of domestic supply [1] - Phosphate rock is the core raw material for the phosphochemical industry, with China supporting nearly half of the global production with only 5% of the world's reserves, highlighting significant resource security pressures [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The long-term price center for phosphate rock is expected to remain high, with leading companies currently enjoying a gross profit margin of around 80% [1] - Downstream demand for phosphate fertilizers remains rigid, but its proportion is expected to decrease from 78% in 2015 to 54% in 2024; meanwhile, the consumption share of wet phosphoric acid is projected to increase from 7% in 2021 to 17% in 2024, partly driven by new energy demand [1]