中信建投期货:2月9日黑色系早报
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-09 02:10

Group 1 - The overall market sentiment is weak, with expectations for steel prices to decline as demand remains subdued and winter storage is nearly complete [4][6][17] - In January 2026, excavator sales reached 18,708 units, a year-on-year increase of 49.5%, with domestic sales up 61.4% and exports up 40.5% [4][15] - The average capacity utilization rate of independent electric arc furnace steel mills was 48.12%, a decrease of 7.59 percentage points week-on-week, but an increase of 44.85 percentage points year-on-year [5][16] Group 2 - The production of rebar decreased by 81,500 tons to 1,916,800 tons, with total inventory increasing by 440,400 tons to 5,195,700 tons [6][17] - Hot-rolled steel production slightly decreased by 500 tons to 3,091,600 tons, with total inventory increasing by 36,200 tons [7][18] - The total supply of five major steel products was 8,199,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 32,700 tons, while total inventory increased by 592,400 tons to 13,377,500 tons [5][16] Group 3 - The iron ore transaction volume at major ports was 792,000 tons, a week-on-week decrease of 19.7% [5][16] - The demand for construction materials decreased by 16.6% week-on-week, while plate consumption increased by 0.1% [5][16] - The market is expected to maintain a neutral price fluctuation pattern for ferroalloys, with supply remaining low and production profits improving slightly [9][20]

CSC-中信建投期货:2月9日黑色系早报 - Reportify