中金：不是选择，是必然——政治经济学眼中的美国政策

Core Viewpoint - Trump's unconventional policies are a response to escalating domestic social contradictions in the U.S., rooted in long-term distribution imbalances caused by neoliberalism since the 1980s [2][3][4]. Group 1: Domestic Policies - Trump has initiated measures to cut government spending and stimulate growth, including the establishment of the DOGE Efficiency Department to reduce government redundancy and accelerate federal layoffs [6]. - He has challenged the independence of the Federal Reserve and proposed a cap on credit card interest rates at 10% to lower consumer loan financing costs [6][4]. - The administration has implemented policies to limit executive compensation and has pressured allies to share military expenses [6][4]. Group 2: International Strategies - Trump's foreign policy includes imposing tariffs on a wide range of imports and advocating for the end of the Russia-Ukraine conflict while reducing international aid [6][4]. - The administration aims to strengthen control over overseas resources and energy to lower domestic living costs [3][4]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The ongoing internal contradictions in the U.S. are contributing to a relative decline in its international standing, with Trump's policies likely to expand in scope as he seeks to win midterm elections and achieve the goal of "Making America Great Again" [4]. - The proposed monetary policy changes, such as the nomination of Warsh as Fed Chair, aim to shift from a large fiscal framework to a model involving interest rate cuts and balance sheet reductions, which could lead to significant market volatility [4][6]. Group 4: Structural Issues - The article highlights the widening gap in income distribution in the U.S., with labor's share of income remaining stable while corporate profits have increased [9][10]. - The disparity between actual household income and the "qualified" income needed for affordable housing has widened significantly, indicating a growing financial burden on American families [9][11]. Group 5: Theoretical Framework - The return of neoclassical economics is identified as a key factor in the exacerbation of social contradictions in the U.S., with Keynesian policies being normalized in response to crises without addressing structural reforms [39][66]. - The article suggests that the challenges faced by the U.S. in implementing structural reforms are compounded by political and economic factors, including the weakening of labor unions and regional inequalities [58][66].