三大人民币汇率指数全线上涨 CFETS指数按周涨1.35%

Core Viewpoint - The recent data indicates a strengthening of the Chinese yuan against various currency baskets, reflecting a positive trend in the currency's valuation and external economic factors supporting this movement [1][5][6]. Group 1: Currency Index Performance - The CFETS RMB exchange rate index stood at 98.34, increasing by 1.35% week-on-week [1][2]. - The BIS currency basket RMB exchange rate index reported 105.44, with a weekly rise of 1.38% [1][2]. - The SDR currency basket RMB exchange rate index was at 93.44, showing a weekly increase of 0.92% [1][2]. Group 2: External Economic Factors - The U.S. Congress passed a funding bill, resolving a partial government shutdown, which may influence market sentiment [5]. - Federal Reserve officials expressed cautious optimism about the U.S. economic outlook, with discussions on inflation and interest rate adjustments ongoing [5]. - The U.S. consumer confidence index reached 57.3, the highest in six months, while inflation expectations dropped to 3.5%, the lowest in a year [5]. Group 3: Domestic Economic Factors - China's foreign exchange reserves increased for the sixth consecutive month, reaching $33,991 billion, up by $412 billion or 1.23% from the previous month [6]. - Gold reserves rose to 7,419 million ounces, with an increase of 40,000 ounces month-on-month [6]. - The stable economic performance in China is seen as a support for maintaining a reasonable level of the RMB exchange rate [6]. Group 4: Market Trends and Predictions - The RMB has appreciated for eleven consecutive weeks, with moderate volatility against a basket of currencies [7]. - Seasonal factors, such as pre-Spring Festival currency settlement, have contributed to the RMB's strengthening [7]. - Future RMB performance may depend on external factors, particularly the U.S. dollar's movements, as seasonal influences diminish [7].