招商证券:LCD面板价格2月涨幅扩大 供需共振释放业绩弹性
智通财经网·2026-02-09 07:01

Supply Side - The oligopoly structure has formed, with mainland Chinese manufacturers achieving absolute dominance in the LCD sector, leading to stable profitability due to cyclical weakening [2] - The reduction in supply from panel manufacturers during the Spring Festival will further support the upward trend in panel prices [3] Demand Side - The World Cup events in North America and Mexico are driving demand, while rising storage costs are accelerating the trend towards larger TV sizes, with BOM cost for storage in TVs expected to rise from 2.5-3% to 6-7% [3] - TCL Electronics' acquisition of Sony's TV division poses a challenge to Samsung's global TV leadership, with projected shipments in 2025 showing only a 1 million unit difference between TCL+Sony and Samsung [3] Upstream Panels - Mainland China's LCD panel global market share is 72%, with TCL Huaxing and BOE holding over 50% market share [4] - The depreciation peak for TCL Huaxing's panel lines has passed, releasing profit elasticity, with overall depreciation expected to decline from 2026 onwards [4] Downstream TVs - The global shipment of MiniLED TVs is expected to exceed 20 million units by 2026, with a penetration rate surpassing 10%, which will indirectly reduce panel cost proportions [5] - The combination of MiniLED technology and larger sizes is expected to alleviate cost pressures, with TCL Electronics and Hisense Visual continuing to be favored for their global strategies and technological leadership [5]

CMS-招商证券:LCD面板价格2月涨幅扩大 供需共振释放业绩弹性 - Reportify