“反内卷”催化行业盈利底部修复，化工ETF国泰（516220）收涨超1.4%

Core Viewpoint - The "anti-involution" measures are expected to catalyze the recovery of profit bottoms in the basic chemical and chemical products industry, with a positive outlook for 2026 [1] Industry Summary - The current round of capacity expansion in the basic chemical and chemical products industry is nearing its end, and "anti-involution" measures are anticipated to stimulate a recovery in industry profits [1] - The new materials sector is benefiting from rapid downstream demand growth, which is likely to initiate a new phase of high growth [1] - Traditional chemical leaders are demonstrating operational resilience and are enhancing their competitive capabilities by expanding into new materials and other fields, which may lead to improvements in both performance and valuation amid a recovering industry environment [1] Sub-industry Focus - Continuous catalysts such as "anti-involution" should be monitored in sub-industries with improving supply-demand dynamics, including refining, polyester, dyes, organic silicon, pesticides, refrigerants, and phosphorus chemicals [1] - The rapid development of downstream industries provides significant growth opportunities for companies in the new materials sector [1] ETF Information - The Cathay Chemical ETF (516220) tracks a specific sub-sector index (000813) focused on the chemical industry, covering high-value-added products such as fine chemicals and new materials, and selects relevant listed companies to reflect the overall performance of this sub-sector [1]