节前市场波动加剧，坚定看好有色牛市

Group 1: Copper Market - LME copper price decreased by 1.65% to $12,855.0 per ton, while Shanghai copper fell by 3.45% to ¥100,100 per ton [2] - Import copper concentrate processing fee index dropped to -$52.37 per ton; national copper inventory increased by 4.03% week-on-week and by 62,700 tons year-on-year [2] - The operating rate of waste anode plate enterprises is at 66.88%, down by 8.19 percentage points; expected to decline further to 38.36% next week [2] Group 2: Aluminum Market - LME aluminum price fell by 3.49% to $3,026.00 per ton, and Shanghai aluminum decreased by 5.07% to ¥23,300 per ton [3] - Domestic aluminum rod inventory increased by 15,000 tons to 258,500 tons; metallurgical-grade alumina total production capacity is 110.32 million tons/year [3] - Aluminum processing comprehensive operating rate recorded at 57.9%, down by 1.5 percentage points week-on-week [3] Group 3: Gold Market - COMEX gold price increased by 6.57% to $4,988.6 per ounce; SPDR gold holdings decreased by 10.87 tons to 1,076.23 tons [4] - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield curve reached its steepest level in nearly four years, influenced by rising rate cut expectations and concerns over inflation [4] - Geopolitical risks have led to a strong fluctuation in the gold market [4] Group 4: Rare Earth and Tungsten Markets - Praseodymium and neodymium oxide prices increased by 1.20% this week; December rare earth permanent magnet exports reached a historical high [5] - Tungsten prices rose by 11.98% due to tight supply and increased support for pricing [5] - Tin prices decreased by 15.81%, but the upward trend is expected to continue despite recent volatility [5] Group 5: Lithium and Cobalt Markets - Lithium carbonate average price decreased by 13.3% to ¥148,000 per ton; lithium hydroxide average price fell by 11.6% to ¥150,000 per ton [6] - Cobalt prices decreased by 5.6% to ¥420,000 per ton; cobalt intermediate prices remained stable [6] - Nickel prices fell by 1.8% to $17,200 per ton on LME [6] Group 6: Nickel Inventory - Port nickel ore inventory decreased by 638,100 tons to 11.08 million tons [7]