高盛：15年来最严重的芯片短缺正在逼近！芯片股集体起立，“全芯”科创芯片ETF（589190）放量涨超3%

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the significant rise in the semiconductor sector, particularly in chip stocks, driven by favorable domestic policies and strong demand from major overseas companies [1][2][3] - On February 9, the semiconductor hardware sector experienced a surge, with 47 out of 50 stocks in the Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Chip Index rising, and 33 stocks increasing by over 2% [1][2] - Chip design stocks led the gains, with notable increases such as Chipone Technology rising by 14.87%, and other companies like Lattice Semiconductor and Cambricon Technologies also showing strong performance [1][3] Group 2 - The Huabao Science and Technology Chip ETF (589190) opened high and closed up over 3%, recovering its 5-day moving average with increased trading volume [1][2] - The recent policy from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on February 6 aims to promote the construction of a national computing power interconnection node system, which is expected to boost the industry [2][3] - Major overseas companies like Nvidia, Google, and Amazon are significantly increasing their capital expenditures, which is expected to drive demand for ASIC chips and benefit the core computing hardware supply chain [3][11] Group 3 - Goldman Sachs has raised its forecast for DRAM supply shortages, predicting a shortfall of 4.9% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027, indicating a more severe supply issue than previously expected [3][11] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange Science and Technology Innovation Board Chip Index has shown an annualized return of 17.93% since its inception, outperforming other semiconductor indices [5][14] - The index's maximum drawdown is lower compared to similar indices, indicating a better risk-reward profile [5][14]