分析师:若就业数据与预期不同,美元和美国国债收益率或大幅波动
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-09 11:34

Core Viewpoint - The report by GivTrade's Hassan Fawaz indicates that signs of a cooling U.S. job market could lead to significant volatility in the foreign exchange and bond markets if January's employment figures deviate from expectations [1][2] Employment Data Expectations - Analysts expect an addition of 55,000 jobs in January, following a gain of 50,000 jobs in December [1][2] - A weaker-than-expected employment figure may reignite concerns about labor market momentum, potentially reinforcing expectations for a loosening of monetary policy later this year and putting downward pressure on the U.S. dollar [1][2] - Conversely, a stronger-than-expected result could challenge this view, supporting the dollar and boosting yields [1][2] Market Reactions - According to data from the London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG), the DXY dollar index fell by 0.3% to 97.363, recovering from an intraday low of 97.291 [1][2] - The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond increased by 2.8 basis points to 4.230% [1][2]

分析师:若就业数据与预期不同,美元和美国国债收益率或大幅波动 - Reportify