GTC泽汇:美政策预期致金银震荡

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market is showing signs of stabilization and recovery after experiencing significant volatility, with gold maintaining strong support around the $5,000 mark despite recent profit-taking and reduced safe-haven demand [1][2]. Market Performance - Spot gold reached a high of $5,046.79 per ounce, reflecting a rise of approximately 0.7%, indicating a reassessment of the value of metal assets by market participants after short-term panic subsides [1][2]. - Silver rebounded from a low near $60 per ounce, showing an active performance with a gain of 3.3%, priced at $80.5330 per ounce, while platinum experienced a decline of 2.3% to $2,068.45 per ounce, highlighting differences in liquidity demand among various metal types [2][3]. Economic Indicators - The focus of the global market has shifted to the upcoming non-farm payroll data and CPI inflation indicators, which will directly influence the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path, especially given the complexities introduced by the nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair [3]. - The potential policy stance of Warsh briefly boosted the dollar and triggered profit-taking in the precious metals market, but such expectation-driven volatility may provide more cost-effective entry points for long-term holders [3]. Year-to-Date Trends - Year-to-date, gold and silver have recorded gains of 15% and 5% respectively, although there has been a pullback from February's historical highs, the overall upward trend remains intact [4]. - Precious metals continue to hold a solid position as core tools for inflation hedging and asset preservation amid intertwined policy uncertainties and macroeconomic fluctuations, with investors advised to be cautious of the dollar's short-term price pressures [4].