Core Viewpoint - Smurfit Westrock PLC (SW) is expected to report fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 11, with revenues projected at $7.67 billion, reflecting a 1.7% year-over-year growth, and earnings per share (EPS) estimated at 46 cents, up from 34 cents in the previous year [1][5]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $7.67 billion, indicating a 1.7% increase from the same quarter last year [1][5]. - The EPS consensus is set at 46 cents, showing a rise from 34 cents year-over-year [1][5]. - The earnings surprise history shows that the company has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate once in the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 18.4% [2]. Segment Performance - The Europe, MEA, and APAC segment is projected to generate revenues of $2.74 billion, up from $2.51 billion in the fourth quarter of 2024, with adjusted EBITDA estimated at $426 million, an increase from $371 million [7]. - North America's revenue estimate for Q4 2025 is $4.49 billion, slightly down from $4.52 billion reported in the previous year, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be $716 million, indicating a 0.8% year-over-year growth [8]. - The LATAM segment's revenue is estimated at $533 million, up from $505 million, but adjusted EBITDA is projected to decline to $116 million from $121 million in the prior-year quarter [9]. Market Trends and Challenges - Demand for corrugated packaging and containerboard remains stable, driven by e-commerce growth and the need for sustainable packaging solutions [3]. - However, weak volumes in Europe and lower box demand are anticipated to negatively impact quarterly results [4][5]. - Merger-related costs are expected to affect performance and free cash flow margin, although pricing actions and cost-saving initiatives may mitigate some of these challenges [6]. Stock Performance - Smurfit Westrock's stock has declined by 14.2% over the past year, compared to a 6.1% decline in the industry [11].
Smurfit Westrock to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in Store for the Stock?