Sirius XM Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Revenue Stable Y/Y

Core Insights - Sirius XM Holdings (SIRI) reported Q4 2025 earnings of 84 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 77 cents per share, and up from 83 cents per share in the same quarter last year [1] - Total revenues for the quarter were $2.19 billion, slightly surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.82%, consistent with year-ago revenues of $2.19 billion [1] Revenue Breakdown - Subscriber revenues, accounting for 74.2% of total revenues, declined 0.43% year over year to $1.63 billion, but exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.13% [2] - Advertisement revenues, making up 22.4% of total revenues, increased 2.9% year over year to $491 million, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.79% [2] - Equipment revenues, representing 2.2% of total revenues, rose 14% year over year to $48 million, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 13.32% [2] - Other revenues, which constitute 1.3% of total revenues, decreased 22% year over year to $28 million, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 21.43% [3] Segment Performance - Sirius XM's Standalone segment revenues (73.5% of total revenues) were $1.61 billion, down 1% year over year [4] - Subscriber revenues in the Standalone segment decreased 0.3% year over year to $1.49 billion, influenced by rate increases on certain self-pay plans, partially offset by an increase in promotional plan subscribers [4] - The total subscriber base declined 1% year over year to 32.93 million [4] - Advertising revenues in the Standalone segment were $41 million, down 5% year over year [4] Subscriber Metrics - Self-pay subscribers decreased 1% year over year to 31.35 million, with net additions of 110,000 in the reported quarter compared to 149,000 in the previous year [5] - Average revenue per user increased to $15.17 from $15.11 year over year [5] - Self-pay monthly churn improved to 1.4% from 1.5% in the year-ago period [5] Pandora & Off-Platform Performance - Pandora and Off-Platform revenues (26.6% of total revenues) increased 2% year over year to $582 million, driven by a 4% rise in advertising revenues to $450 million [6] - Subscriber revenues for Pandora decreased by 1% year over year to $132 million [6] - Self-pay subscribers for Pandora Plus and Pandora Premium services totaled 5.6 million at the end of the quarter [6] Operating and Financial Details - Total operating expenses increased 17% year over year to $1.97 billion, primarily due to impairment and restructuring costs of $272 million compared to $12 million in the prior year [10] - Adjusted EBITDA increased 0.43% year over year to $691 million, with a margin of 32% compared to 31% in the prior year [10] - Cash flow from operations was $680 million, slightly up from $679 million in the year-ago quarter [11] - Free cash flow for the quarter was $541 million, a 5% increase from $516 million in the prior-year period [12] 2026 Guidance - For 2026, the company projects revenues of approximately $8.5 billion, adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.6 billion, and free cash flow of approximately $1.35 billion [13]