Array Technologies Surges 122% in 6 Months: Time to Buy the Stock?

Core Insights - Array Technologies (ARRY) has seen a stock price increase of 121.7% over the past six months, outperforming its industry, sector, and the Zacks S&P 500 composite, driven by improving demand visibility and an expanded product portfolio [2][9]. Stock Performance - ARRY stock has surpassed its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages, indicating a bullish trend, which are critical indicators for traders and analysts [3]. - In comparison, peer Sunrun (RUN) has gained 8.3% while First Solar (FSLR) has decreased by 16.3% in the same timeframe [4]. Valuation Metrics - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings multiple of 12.25, which is lower than the industry average of 18.27 and the five-year median of 15.87, indicating it may be undervalued compared to its industry [5]. - While ARRY is considered expensive relative to FSLR, it is cheaper compared to RUN [6]. Market Position and Growth Potential - Array Technologies is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term growth in renewable energy, with strong momentum in the U.S. solar industry as adoption increases among utilities, businesses, and households [10]. - The company has a solid order backlog, ensuring revenue generation in the upcoming quarters, and its acquisition of APA Solar enhances its competitive advantage by broadening its product offerings [11][12]. Operational Challenges - Federal policy changes have introduced near-term uncertainties affecting permitting, procurement, and supply-chain planning, while elevated U.S. tariffs have increased system costs despite a 12% drop in module prices [13]. - Although ARRY has been incurring losses since Q3 2024, operational performance has led to improving margins, with expectations of profitability by full-year 2025 [14]. Analyst Sentiment and Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 indicates a 17.8% year-over-year revenue increase and a 40.1% increase in earnings, with a long-term earnings growth rate projected at 19.6% [15]. - The consensus estimate for 2026 earnings has seen a slight downward adjustment of 3 cents in the past 30 days [16]. Strategic Considerations - Array Technologies is expected to benefit from solar infrastructure growth, supported by product innovation and a domestic content advantage, with a VGM Score of B indicating confidence in its performance [18]. - Despite positive growth indicators, muted analyst sentiment and ongoing federal policy changes suggest a cautious approach may be prudent for investors [19].