Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2026-02-09 20:25Price Increase - Tungsten prices have been continuously rising, with ammonium paratungstate (APT) price reaching 1 million yuan per ton, marking a significant increase [1][2] - As of February 9, 2023, the price of 65% black tungsten concentrate was reported at 685,000 yuan per ton, up 48.9% since the beginning of the year [1][2] - The price of tungsten powder increased by 54.6% to 1,670 yuan per kilogram, while tungsten carbide powder rose by 55.8% to 1,620 yuan per kilogram [1][2] Demand Growth - The explosive growth in demand, particularly in the renewable energy and photovoltaic sectors, is driving tungsten powder prices upward [2] - By 2025, the market penetration rate of tungsten wire in silicon wafer cutting is expected to exceed 60%, indicating a phase of large-scale application [2] - The industrialization of heterojunction (HJT) battery technology is projected to add approximately 6,400 tons of new tungsten demand by 2026 [2] Supply Constraints - Global tungsten production is estimated at 82,800 tons in 2024, with only a slight increase to 85,500 tons by 2026, indicating a compound annual growth rate of less than 2% [3] - Factors such as resource constraints, extended development cycles, and insufficient capital investment are reinforcing supply-side rigidity [3] - The domestic tungsten market faces challenges including reduced mining quotas and unstable import volumes, exacerbating supply-demand imbalances [3] Company Performance - A-share listed companies have reported strong performance forecasts for 2025, largely due to rising tungsten-related product prices [4][5][6] - Xiamen Tungsten's 2025 revenue is projected to reach 46.469 billion yuan, a 31.37% increase year-on-year, with net profit expected to rise by 35.08% [4] - Xianglu Tungsten anticipates a net profit increase of 239.66% to 301.11% for 2025, driven by improved market conditions and increased sales orders [5] - Zhangyuan Tungsten expects a net profit growth of 51% to 86% for 2025, benefiting from tight raw material supply and increased market demand [6]