15%增长！特朗普“画大饼”：我的美联储主席沃什能让经济起飞

Core Viewpoint - Trump claims that his nominee for Federal Reserve Chairman, Kevin Warsh, can drive the U.S. economy to achieve a 15% growth rate, which is considered highly optimistic and indicates the immense pressure Warsh would face if confirmed [1][4]. Group 1: Economic Growth Expectations - Trump believes that if Warsh "performs as he should," the economy could achieve a growth rate of 15%, potentially even more [5]. - The U.S. economy is projected to grow by 2.4% this year, with a historical average growth rate of approximately 2.8% over the past fifty years [5]. - Since the 1950s, the U.S. GDP growth rate has only exceeded 15% a few times, including the third quarter of 2020 when businesses reopened after pandemic shutdowns [5]. Group 2: Political Context and Implications - Trump's statements suggest he is betting on Warsh to stimulate economic growth ahead of the midterm elections, which historically have been unfavorable for sitting presidents [2][5]. - There are indications that Trump is not concerned about inflation, despite the fact that a growth rate close to 15% typically leads to rising inflation, which remains stubbornly high [6]. - The confirmation of Warsh may be delayed due to opposition from retiring Republican Senator Thom Tillis, who has vowed to block any Fed nominee as long as the Trump administration continues its investigation into Powell [3][6]. Group 3: Criticism of Current Fed Leadership - Trump criticized the appointment of Jerome Powell as a significant mistake, attributing the decision to former Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin's influence [2][6]. - Trump has expressed a desire for a Fed chair who would lower interest rates, indicating that if Warsh advocates for rate hikes, he would not support him [2][6].