中信建投期货:2月10日能化早报
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-02-10 01:09

Group 1: Natural Rubber Market - Domestic all-latex rubber price increased to 16,100 CNY/ton, up by 200 CNY/ton from the previous day [4] - Thai 20 mixed rubber price rose to 15,200 CNY/ton, up by 100 CNY/ton from the previous day [4] - As of February 8, 2026, Qingdao's total inventory of natural rubber in bonded and general trade reached 606,800 tons, an increase of 15,100 tons, or 2.55% [4][31] Group 2: PX Market - PX industry load in China increased by 0.3 percentage points to 89.5%, while Asia's industry load rose by 0.8 percentage points to 82.4%, indicating a stable supply [5][32] - Demand from downstream PTA facilities is expected to decrease due to planned maintenance, leading to a shift towards a looser supply-demand balance in February and March [5][32] - The Brent crude oil price has risen due to geopolitical risks, which may provide support for PX prices in the second quarter [5][32] Group 3: PTA Market - PTA industry load increased by 1.0 percentage points to 77.6%, but remains below historical levels [6][33] - Demand from terminal enterprises in Jiangsu and Zhejiang is declining, with operating rates expected to drop to annual lows by mid-February [6][33] - The anticipated adjustment of U.S. tariff exemptions for Bangladeshi textiles may lead to increased investment by Chinese textile manufacturers in Bangladesh [6][33] Group 4: EG Market - Ethylene glycol industry load increased by 1.7 percentage points to 76.1%, but the supply remains adequate despite a decrease in import volumes [8][35] - February is expected to see significant inventory pressure, but a potential improvement is anticipated in March [8][35] - Current prices are not sufficient to trigger large-scale production cuts, indicating limited upward momentum [8][35] Group 5: PR Market - The bottle-grade PET industry load remained stable at 66.1%, with ongoing production cuts supporting a tightening supply [10][39] - The demand is limited due to the traditional off-season for beverage consumption, with limited room for production recovery in February [10][39] - Supply-side reductions are expected to drive inventory depletion and support processing fees [10][39] Group 6: Soda Ash Market - Soda ash futures experienced a slight decline, with stable spot prices [13][40] - Recent production has decreased by 0.9 million tons to 774,000 tons, while downstream demand has slightly weakened [13][40] - The market sentiment is turning weaker due to increased supply and reduced demand [13][40] Group 7: Glass Market - Glass futures saw a slight increase, with stable spot prices [15][42] - Recent glass production has decreased, while inventory has slightly increased by 25,000 tons to 2.653 million tons [15][42] - The construction sector is facing challenges, with a year-on-year decline in housing completion area [15][42] Group 8: Caustic Soda Market - Caustic soda futures increased by 75 CNY/ton to 1,937 CNY/ton [16][50] - The market is experiencing steady prices for 32% and 50% caustic soda, with some slight declines in specific areas [16][50] - Demand remains subdued, leading to a stable but slightly declining market price [16][50] Group 9: PVC Market - PVC futures decreased by 103 CNY/ton to 5,052 CNY/ton, with ongoing supply pressure [19][46] - The market is facing a reality versus expectation battle, with high operating rates contributing to supply pressure [19][46] - Short-term improvements are limited, but optimistic expectations remain due to potential policy changes [19][46]