Core Viewpoint - The pet food industry in China is showing strong growth resilience despite overall consumption pressures, with an expected GMV of 30.71 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 10.2% [1] Long-term Outlook - The number of "new pet owners" is expected to continue growing, driven by the demographic of 20-35 year-olds, with a sustained increase in the number of graduates from 2025 to 2038 [1] - Historical data from Japan indicates that pet food prices can maintain long-term resilience, with China's current pet consumption still below that of Japan [1] Mid-term Trends - The pet food industry is undergoing a consumption upgrade, with high-end cat and dog food segments (60-100 yuan/kg) expected to outpace overall industry growth from 2024 to 2025 [2] - Innovations in production processes and raw materials are driving this consumption upgrade, reflecting the competitive landscape among domestic brands [2] Short-term Insights - The pet food market is experiencing strong growth, with online GMV projected to reach 30.71 billion yuan in 2025, and a significant increase in market share for leading platforms like Taobao and Douyin [4] - The concentration of the industry is increasing, with the top five brands capturing 25.3% of the market share, indicating a trend towards market consolidation [4] Future Industry Outlook - The trend of consumption upgrading is expected to continue, with high-end product segments showing significant growth while low-end segments face declines [6] - The market share of foreign brands is anticipated to rise, particularly in the prescription food segment, as consumer awareness increases [6] - Product innovation is becoming crucial, with functional and prescription foods likely to emerge as new industry trends [6]
申万宏源:宠物食品行业景气依旧 迎接科学养宠时代