Core Viewpoint - Tianfu Communication is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.88-2.15 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 40.0%-60.0% [1] Financial Performance - The company's net profit for Q4 2025 is projected to be 550 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 49.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.8% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 2.58, 4.87, and 7.18 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 115.4, 61.2, and 41.5 based on the closing price on February 9 [1] Market Dynamics - The growth in performance is attributed to the stable increase in global demand for high-speed optical devices, alongside the company's ongoing efforts in smart manufacturing to reduce costs and improve efficiency [1] - Material bottlenecks are gradually easing, and the 1.6T optical engine is expected to see increased production [1] Competitive Position - The company has become an important player in the supply chain for NVIDIA's CPO through core passive component customization and high-efficiency coupling processes [1] - Tianfu Communication possesses manufacturing capabilities in FAU, optical engine packaging, and ELS modules, which are expected to enhance unit value [1] Future Outlook - Strong demand for 1.6T optical modules driven by capital expenditures in North America is anticipated to benefit major clients in 2026, with potential revenue growth from Scaleout and Scaleup CPO/NPO expected to materialize after 2027 [1]
研报掘金丨山西证券:维持天孚通信“买入-A”评级,1.6T光引擎和CPO、NPO产品放量可期