Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that chemical product prices are expected to continue rising due to tightening supply and demand, increasing raw material costs, and strong market sentiment, with significant price spread expansions observed in January 2026 [1] Group 2 - In January 2026, the price spread for butadiene was 4630 CNY/ton, up 65% month-on-month [2] - The price spread for PDH was 48 USD/ton, also up 65% month-on-month [3] - The price spread for urea was 411 CNY/ton, increasing by 44% month-on-month [4] - The price spread for PTA was 1006 CNY/ton, rising by 22% month-on-month [5] Group 3 - Butadiene prices are supported by tightening supply due to some companies halting exports and improved downstream demand, particularly in synthetic rubber production [2] - PDH price spreads are expanding due to increased maintenance shutdowns and supply-demand mismatches, leading to higher propylene prices [3] - Urea prices are driven by strong demand from manufacturers ahead of the Spring Festival and low inventory levels [4] - PTA prices are supported by rising international oil prices and cost pressures, with production cuts in the polyester sector expected to take effect [5]
国泰海通:1月化工品价差扩大较多 关注相关投资机会