华商基金邓默：经济进入良性循环 盈利修复与流动性或为市场提供助力

Core Viewpoint - The market showed a strong performance in 2025, with the Wande Micro Index rising by 70.70% and the Wande All A Index increasing by 27.65%, indicating a favorable environment for small-cap stocks due to their high elasticity and low institutional holdings [1] Group 1: Market Performance - In Q4 2025, the market experienced a pattern of rising and then retreating, with the Shanghai Composite Index nearing the 4000-point mark, reflecting a decline in risk appetite [2] - The aerospace equipment sector saw a significant increase of 40% in Q4, while the metals sector remained active due to global inflation expectations and demand recovery [2] - Consumer sectors, particularly white goods and kitchen appliances, showed a temporary rebound due to policy stimuli, while high-dividend assets like banks and coal faced continuous corrections [2] Group 2: Investment Strategy - The investment strategy focuses on low-valuation, high-growth small-cap stocks, utilizing quantitative models for stock selection [4] - The manager emphasizes capturing opportunities in small-cap stocks while being cautious of potential risks, dynamically adjusting portfolios based on performance data [4] - The outlook remains optimistic as economic recovery and market liquidity are expected to support future market growth, with a focus on structural opportunities in technology and upstream resources [3][4]