黄力晨:黄金暂时反弹遇阻 存在向上突破机会

Core Viewpoint - The ongoing uncertainty in US-Iran negotiations and concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve continue to attract both dip-buying and safe-haven buying, providing support for gold prices [1][2][5]. Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced a rebound, reaching a high of $5086 before facing resistance, and subsequently fluctuated between $5010 and $5060, currently trading around $5050 [1][5]. - The market sentiment was influenced by the US issuing an emergency security alert regarding the evacuation from Iran, and Iran indicating the long-term nature of the negotiations, which raised concerns about the Federal Reserve's independence [2][6]. - The easing of tensions in the Middle East and a recovery in market risk appetite, as evidenced by rising US stock markets, have diminished gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [2][6]. Technical Indicators - The daily chart indicates that gold is currently in a wide trading range, with support levels at $5010 and $4965, and resistance levels at $5100 and $5200 [3][7]. - Short-term technical indicators show a potential for a rebound, with the 5-day moving average turning upward, and MACD and KDJ indicators showing signs of bullish momentum [7].