【环球财经】机构称土耳其央行或于3月暂停降息

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Turkey's inflation data for January exceeded expectations, increasing uncertainty regarding monetary policy adjustments, with a potential pause in interest rate cuts expected in March [1] - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Turkey rose by 4.84% month-on-month in January, with a year-on-year increase of 30.65%, driven by rising food prices and price adjustments at the beginning of the year [1] - The Central Bank of Turkey has reduced the policy interest rate from 46% to 37% since July 2025, with the next monetary policy committee meeting scheduled for March 2026 [1] Group 2 - The CEO of Isbank, Hakan Aran, indicated that maintaining the interest rate could signal policy firmness to the market [1] - Based on January's data, the Central Bank's previous inflation forecast for the end of 2026, which was between 13% and 19%, is now considered invalid, with a new lower limit of at least 19% and a more reasonable range potentially moving to 19% to 25% [1] - Financial analyst Serpil Tuncer from Istanbul believes that due to fluctuations in food prices and persistent inflation in the service sector, the Central Bank is more likely to adopt a "wait-and-see" approach in the March meeting [1]