Transocean Q4 Earnings on Deck: Here's How It Will Fare

Core Viewpoint - Transocean Ltd. (RIG) is expected to report fourth-quarter earnings on February 19, with a consensus estimate of 9 cents per share and revenues of $1.04 billion [1][8]. Group 1: Previous Quarter Performance - In the last reported quarter, Transocean's adjusted earnings were 6 cents per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 4 cents, driven by strong segment performance [2]. - Adjusted revenues for the last quarter were $1 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by $21 million [2]. Group 2: Earnings Surprise History - RIG has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average negative surprise of 208.33% [3]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter 2025 earnings indicates a 200% year-over-year increase, while revenues are expected to rise by 9.08% compared to the previous year [3]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Q4 Performance - Transocean generates revenue by providing offshore drilling services, leasing specialized drilling rigs and equipment to oil and gas producers [4]. - The Ultra-Deepwater Floaters segment is projected to grow by 13.1% year-over-year, contributing approximately $763.2 million to revenues [5][8]. - However, total operating and maintenance costs are expected to rise by 4.3% year-over-year to $604 million, which may negatively impact earnings [6][8]. Group 4: Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Transocean, as the Earnings ESP is -5.88%, indicating a lower likelihood of exceeding earnings expectations [7].