Why My Top Dividend Stock Idea in February Is the Same as It Was Last Month

Core Viewpoint - Pool Corporation is positioned as a strong investment opportunity, particularly as a top dividend stock, with significant upside potential despite current market volatility and a challenging macroeconomic environment [2][12]. Company Performance - Pool Corporation has outperformed the market, with its stock up over 14% year-to-date, and is recommended as a top dividend stock [2]. - The company reported sales of approximately $1.5 billion in Q3, generating a net income of $127 million, indicating substantial profitability [6]. - The earnings-per-share growth of 4% has outpaced the year-over-year revenue growth of 1% [6]. Market Context - The current market is characterized by significant investments in AI by major tech companies, with firms like Amazon planning to spend about $200 billion on capital expenditures in 2026 [5]. - Pool Corporation's straightforward business model contrasts with the speculative nature of AI investments, providing a more stable investment option [4]. Sales Growth Potential - Pool Corporation's sales growth could accelerate if interest rates decline, as over 60% of its sales come from non-discretionary pool maintenance, which remains consistent [7]. - Management noted "encouraging signs of stabilization" in new pool construction and remodeling during Q3, suggesting potential for recovery in these areas [9]. Dividend and Shareholder Returns - The company offers a robust dividend yield of 1.9%, with a payout ratio of 45%, allowing for future dividend growth [10]. - Pool Corporation has also engaged in share repurchases, buying back $164 million worth of shares in the first nine months of 2025 [11]. Valuation - Pool Corporation is currently valued at 24 times earnings, presenting a balanced risk-reward profile amid the market's focus on AI-related investments [12].