美国去年12月零售额不及预期

Core Insights - The U.S. retail sales for December 2025 are projected at $735 billion, showing no month-over-month growth, significantly below the market expectation of 0.4% and the previous month's growth of 0.6% [1] - Sales in categories such as automobiles, furniture, electronics, clothing, and health and personal care products experienced a month-over-month decline, while sales in building materials, gasoline, and food and beverages saw an increase [1] - Year-over-year, U.S. retail sales grew by 2.4% in December, which is lower than the consumer price index increase of 2.7%, indicating a real contraction in consumer spending [1] Economic Analysis - Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union, noted that tariffs have severely impacted sales in automobiles, furniture, appliances, and clothing, leading to weak performance in these sectors [1] - Thomas Ryan, an economist at Capital Economics, predicts that January's consumer data may be weak due to extreme cold weather in some regions, and a significant slowdown in consumer growth is expected in the first quarter of 2026 [1]